Implied probability for the top five outcomes across selectable timeframes
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Japan
Favorite$4,191 Vol.

Spain
$1,664 Vol.

Curaçao
$1,145 Vol.

England
$1,122 Vol.

Norway
$1,051 Vol.

Colombia
$1,426 Vol.

Türkiye
$1,038 Vol.

Croatia
$1,243 Vol.

South Korea
$2,050 Vol.

Portugal
$1,335 Vol.

Belgium
$1,214 Vol.

Iran
$904 Vol.

Senegal
$1,071 Vol.

United States
$1,602 Vol.

Germany
$1,317 Vol.

New Zealand
$932 Vol.

Argentina
$982 Vol.

France
$1,410 Vol.

Netherlands
$985 Vol.

Brazil
$1,044 Vol.

Mexico
$1,908 Vol.

Bosnia & Herzegovina
$1,125 Vol.

Ivory Coast
$1,229 Vol.

Sweden
$1,559 Vol.

Switzerland
$1,215 Vol.

Morocco
$1,237 Vol.

Haiti
$748 Vol.

Uzbekistan
$1,111 Vol.

Paraguay
$920 Vol.

Canada
$2,030 Vol.

Tunisia
$865 Vol.

South Africa
$609 Vol.

Austria
$2,016 Vol.

Czechia
$709 Vol.

Ecuador
$969 Vol.

Scotland
$1,427 Vol.

Australia
$1,203 Vol.

Ghana
$894 Vol.

Uruguay
$1,116 Vol.

Algeria
$1,017 Vol.

Egypt
$732 Vol.

Qatar
$589 Vol.

DR Congo
$1,386 Vol.

Cape Verde
$430 Vol.

Iraq
$614 Vol.

Jordan
$572 Vol.

Panama
$843 Vol.

Saudi Arabia
$554 Vol.
Resolution and payout rules
This prediction resolves on the official FIFA World Cup 2026 result for Who wins the 2026 Fair Play Award?. YES shares pay $1.00 USDC at resolution; NO shares pay $0.00.