KnockoutSettles Jul 19, 2026

Which teams advance to the knockout stage?

48 nations · top 2 per group + best 8 thirds

Price movement

Implied probability for the top five outcomes across selectable timeframes

$5,760,000 Vol.$1.15M Liq.Jul 19, 2026

Spain99%

USA98%

Mexico98%

Argentina98%

Brazil97%

Implied odds

Tap an outcome to load it in the trade panel

NationChanceTrade

1
Spain
01
Spain
Favorite
$54,342 Vol.
98.8%
2
USA
02
USA
$60,177 Vol.
98.4%
3
Mexico
03
Mexico
$62,033 Vol.
98.4%
4
Argentina
04
Argentina
$25,180 Vol.
97.5%
5
Brazil
05
Brazil
$48,266 Vol.
97.5%
6
Germany
06
Germany
$24,665 Vol.
96.9%
7
Switzerland
07
Switzerland
$126,552 Vol.
96.5%
8
France
08
France
$73,566 Vol.
96.4%
9
Belgium
09
Belgium
$19,925 Vol.
96.0%
10
England
10
England
$28,054 Vol.
95.8%
11
Portugal
11
Portugal
$28,172 Vol.
95.4%
12
South Korea
12
South Korea
$16,504 Vol.
94.5%
13
Colombia
13
Colombia
$20,710 Vol.
91.5%
14
Netherlands
14
Netherlands
$26,191 Vol.
91.0%
15
Uruguay
15
Uruguay
$15,202 Vol.
90.0%
16
Ecuador
16
Ecuador
$17,381 Vol.
87.5%
17
Norway
17
Norway
$83,450 Vol.
85.5%
18
Canada
18
Canada
$46,510 Vol.
84.0%
19
Morocco
19
Morocco
$24,074 Vol.
84.0%
20
Türkiye
20
Türkiye
$24,159 Vol.
83.0%
21
Japan
21
Japan
$27,640 Vol.
82.0%
22
Croatia
22
Croatia
$52,893 Vol.
81.5%
23
Ivory Coast
23
Ivory Coast
$11,973 Vol.
77.5%
24
Austria
24
Austria
$28,694 Vol.
76.0%
25
Scotland
25
Scotland
$63,093 Vol.
71.5%
26
Egypt
26
Egypt
$6,408 Vol.
71.5%
27
Senegal
27
Senegal
$50,870 Vol.
71.5%
28
Bosnia & Herzegovina
28
Bosnia & Herzegovina
$56,382 Vol.
69.5%
29
Algeria
29
Algeria
$27,929 Vol.
67.0%
30
Sweden
30
Sweden
$28,957 Vol.
63.0%
31
IR Iran
31
IR Iran
$15,613 Vol.
62.4%
32
Czechia
32
Czechia
$20,505 Vol.
55.5%
33
Ghana
33
Ghana
$79,193 Vol.
48.5%
34
DR Congo
34
DR Congo
$24,816 Vol.
42.0%
35
Australia
35
Australia
$31,508 Vol.
41.5%
36
Paraguay
36
Paraguay
$45,497 Vol.
38.5%
37
Panama
37
Panama
$52,533 Vol.
36.5%
38
Tunisia
38
Tunisia
$47,077 Vol.
36.0%
39
Saudi Arabia
39
Saudi Arabia
$98,406 Vol.
34.5%
40
New Zealand
40
New Zealand
$74,365 Vol.
32.0%
41
Uzbekistan
41
Uzbekistan
$23,436 Vol.
31.5%
42
Cape Verde
42
Cape Verde
$12,864 Vol.
29.5%
43
Jordan
43
Jordan
$68,783 Vol.
22.5%
44
Qatar
44
Qatar
$88,975 Vol.
17.5%
45
South Africa
45
South Africa
$27,941 Vol.
15.5%
46
Haiti
46
Haiti
$78,451 Vol.
13.5%
47
🇮🇶Iraq
47🇮🇶
Iraq
$181,783 Vol.
13.5%
48
Curaçao
48
Curaçao
$45,616 Vol.
10.5%

How this settles

Resolution and payout rules

This prediction resolves on the official FIFA World Cup 2026 result for Which teams advance to the knockout stage?. YES shares pay $1.00 USDC at resolution; NO shares pay $0.00.

Category: Knockout
Settlement date: Jul 19, 2026
Volume: $5.76M
Liquidity: $1.15M
Source: FIFA official / Polymarket CLOB
Scope: FIFA World Cup 2026 only

Illustrative odds until on-chain CLOB settlement is live on the hub.

All predictions

KnockoutSettles Jul 19, 2026

Which teams advance to the knockout stage?

48 nations · top 2 per group + best 8 thirds

Price movement

Implied probability for the top five outcomes across selectable timeframes

$5,760,000 Vol.$1.15M Liq.Jul 19, 2026

Spain99%

USA98%

Mexico98%

Argentina98%

Brazil97%

Implied odds

Tap an outcome to load it in the trade panel

NationChanceTrade

1
Spain
01
Spain
Favorite
$54,342 Vol.
98.8%
2
USA
02
USA
$60,177 Vol.
98.4%
3
Mexico
03
Mexico
$62,033 Vol.
98.4%
4
Argentina
04
Argentina
$25,180 Vol.
97.5%
5
Brazil
05
Brazil
$48,266 Vol.
97.5%
6
Germany
06
Germany
$24,665 Vol.
96.9%
7
Switzerland
07
Switzerland
$126,552 Vol.
96.5%
8
France
08
France
$73,566 Vol.
96.4%
9
Belgium
09
Belgium
$19,925 Vol.
96.0%
10
England
10
England
$28,054 Vol.
95.8%
11
Portugal
11
Portugal
$28,172 Vol.
95.4%
12
South Korea
12
South Korea
$16,504 Vol.
94.5%
13
Colombia
13
Colombia
$20,710 Vol.
91.5%
14
Netherlands
14
Netherlands
$26,191 Vol.
91.0%
15
Uruguay
15
Uruguay
$15,202 Vol.
90.0%
16
Ecuador
16
Ecuador
$17,381 Vol.
87.5%
17
Norway
17
Norway
$83,450 Vol.
85.5%
18
Canada
18
Canada
$46,510 Vol.
84.0%
19
Morocco
19
Morocco
$24,074 Vol.
84.0%
20
Türkiye
20
Türkiye
$24,159 Vol.
83.0%
21
Japan
21
Japan
$27,640 Vol.
82.0%
22
Croatia
22
Croatia
$52,893 Vol.
81.5%
23
Ivory Coast
23
Ivory Coast
$11,973 Vol.
77.5%
24
Austria
24
Austria
$28,694 Vol.
76.0%
25
Scotland
25
Scotland
$63,093 Vol.
71.5%
26
Egypt
26
Egypt
$6,408 Vol.
71.5%
27
Senegal
27
Senegal
$50,870 Vol.
71.5%
28
Bosnia & Herzegovina
28
Bosnia & Herzegovina
$56,382 Vol.
69.5%
29
Algeria
29
Algeria
$27,929 Vol.
67.0%
30
Sweden
30
Sweden
$28,957 Vol.
63.0%
31
IR Iran
31
IR Iran
$15,613 Vol.
62.4%
32
Czechia
32
Czechia
$20,505 Vol.
55.5%
33
Ghana
33
Ghana
$79,193 Vol.
48.5%
34
DR Congo
34
DR Congo
$24,816 Vol.
42.0%
35
Australia
35
Australia
$31,508 Vol.
41.5%
36
Paraguay
36
Paraguay
$45,497 Vol.
38.5%
37
Panama
37
Panama
$52,533 Vol.
36.5%
38
Tunisia
38
Tunisia
$47,077 Vol.
36.0%
39
Saudi Arabia
39
Saudi Arabia
$98,406 Vol.
34.5%
40
New Zealand
40
New Zealand
$74,365 Vol.
32.0%
41
Uzbekistan
41
Uzbekistan
$23,436 Vol.
31.5%
42
Cape Verde
42
Cape Verde
$12,864 Vol.
29.5%
43
Jordan
43
Jordan
$68,783 Vol.
22.5%
44
Qatar
44
Qatar
$88,975 Vol.
17.5%
45
South Africa
45
South Africa
$27,941 Vol.
15.5%
46
Haiti
46
Haiti
$78,451 Vol.
13.5%
47
🇮🇶Iraq
47🇮🇶
Iraq
$181,783 Vol.
13.5%
48
Curaçao
48
Curaçao
$45,616 Vol.
10.5%

How this settles

Resolution and payout rules

This prediction resolves on the official FIFA World Cup 2026 result for Which teams advance to the knockout stage?. YES shares pay $1.00 USDC at resolution; NO shares pay $0.00.

Category: Knockout
Settlement date: Jul 19, 2026
Volume: $5.76M
Liquidity: $1.15M
Source: FIFA official / Polymarket CLOB
Scope: FIFA World Cup 2026 only

Illustrative odds until on-chain CLOB settlement is live on the hub.