KnockoutSettles Jul 19, 2026

Which teams reach the World Cup final?

Losing finalist or champion

Price movement

Implied probability for the top five outcomes across selectable timeframes

$5,760,000 Vol.$1.15M Liq.Jul 19, 2026

Spain34%

France27%

Argentina23%

England23%

Portugal21%

Implied odds

Tap an outcome to load it in the trade panel

NationChanceTrade

1
Spain
01
Spain
Favorite
$35,708 Vol.
33.5%
2
France
02
France
$32,190 Vol.
26.5%
3
Argentina
03
Argentina
$18,560 Vol.
22.5%
4
England
04
England
$30,359 Vol.
22.5%
5
Portugal
05
Portugal
$46,289 Vol.
21.0%
6
Brazil
06
Brazil
$26,831 Vol.
20.0%
7
Netherlands
07
Netherlands
$27,312 Vol.
13.5%
8
Germany
08
Germany
$6,288 Vol.
11.5%
9
Colombia
09
Colombia
$17,479 Vol.
8.3%
10
Belgium
10
Belgium
$14,632 Vol.
7.5%
11
USA
11
USA
$25,951 Vol.
7.3%
12
Mexico
12
Mexico
$100,315 Vol.
6.8%
13
Norway
13
Norway
$49,270 Vol.
5.5%
14
Morocco
14
Morocco
$34,541 Vol.
5.2%
15
Uruguay
15
Uruguay
$7,917 Vol.
5.0%
16
Switzerland
16
Switzerland
$16,837 Vol.
4.9%
17
Japan
17
Japan
$17,407 Vol.
4.9%
18
Türkiye
18
Türkiye
$24,147 Vol.
3.9%
19
Croatia
19
Croatia
$7,412 Vol.
3.9%
20
Ecuador
20
Ecuador
$12,057 Vol.
3.3%
21
Canada
21
Canada
$2,603 Vol.
2.8%
22
Sweden
22
Sweden
$1,283 Vol.
2.5%
23
Senegal
23
Senegal
$9,649 Vol.
2.5%
24
New Zealand
24
New Zealand
$514 Vol.
2.3%
25
Scotland
25
Scotland
$2,145 Vol.
2.3%
26
Austria
26
Austria
$2,831 Vol.
2.3%
27
South Africa
27
South Africa
$197 Vol.
2.2%
28
Czechia
28
Czechia
$3,977 Vol.
2.2%
29
Ivory Coast
29
Ivory Coast
$5,225 Vol.
2.2%
30
South Korea
30
South Korea
$3,307 Vol.
2.0%
31
Bosnia & Herzegovina
31
Bosnia & Herzegovina
$597 Vol.
1.8%
32
Ghana
32
Ghana
$161 Vol.
1.7%
33
Algeria
33
Algeria
$198 Vol.
1.7%
34
Paraguay
34
Paraguay
$698 Vol.
1.6%
35
Australia
35
Australia
$93 Vol.
1.2%
36
Tunisia
36
Tunisia
$249 Vol.
1.1%
37
Qatar
37
Qatar
$292 Vol.
1.0%
38
Egypt
38
Egypt
$1,437 Vol.
1.0%
39
IR Iran
39
IR Iran
$1,053 Vol.
0.9%
40
Saudi Arabia
40
Saudi Arabia
$1,715 Vol.
0.9%
41
DR Congo
41
DR Congo
$216 Vol.
0.8%
42
🇮🇶Iraq
42🇮🇶
Iraq
$179 Vol.
0.7%
43
Jordan
43
Jordan
$483 Vol.
0.6%
44
Uzbekistan
44
Uzbekistan
$2,599 Vol.
0.6%
45
Cape Verde
45
Cape Verde
$3,636 Vol.
0.4%
46
Panama
46
Panama
$648 Vol.
0.4%
47
Haiti
47
Haiti
$365 Vol.
0.4%
48
Curaçao
48
Curaçao
$965 Vol.
0.4%

How this settles

Resolution and payout rules

This prediction resolves on the official FIFA World Cup 2026 result for Which teams reach the World Cup final?. YES shares pay $1.00 USDC at resolution; NO shares pay $0.00.

Category: Knockout
Settlement date: Jul 19, 2026
Volume: $5.76M
Liquidity: $1.15M
Source: FIFA official / Polymarket CLOB
Scope: FIFA World Cup 2026 only

Illustrative odds until on-chain CLOB settlement is live on the hub.

All predictions

KnockoutSettles Jul 19, 2026

Which teams reach the World Cup final?

Losing finalist or champion

Price movement

Implied probability for the top five outcomes across selectable timeframes

$5,760,000 Vol.$1.15M Liq.Jul 19, 2026

Spain34%

France27%

Argentina23%

England23%

Portugal21%

Implied odds

Tap an outcome to load it in the trade panel

NationChanceTrade

1
Spain
01
Spain
Favorite
$35,708 Vol.
33.5%
2
France
02
France
$32,190 Vol.
26.5%
3
Argentina
03
Argentina
$18,560 Vol.
22.5%
4
England
04
England
$30,359 Vol.
22.5%
5
Portugal
05
Portugal
$46,289 Vol.
21.0%
6
Brazil
06
Brazil
$26,831 Vol.
20.0%
7
Netherlands
07
Netherlands
$27,312 Vol.
13.5%
8
Germany
08
Germany
$6,288 Vol.
11.5%
9
Colombia
09
Colombia
$17,479 Vol.
8.3%
10
Belgium
10
Belgium
$14,632 Vol.
7.5%
11
USA
11
USA
$25,951 Vol.
7.3%
12
Mexico
12
Mexico
$100,315 Vol.
6.8%
13
Norway
13
Norway
$49,270 Vol.
5.5%
14
Morocco
14
Morocco
$34,541 Vol.
5.2%
15
Uruguay
15
Uruguay
$7,917 Vol.
5.0%
16
Switzerland
16
Switzerland
$16,837 Vol.
4.9%
17
Japan
17
Japan
$17,407 Vol.
4.9%
18
Türkiye
18
Türkiye
$24,147 Vol.
3.9%
19
Croatia
19
Croatia
$7,412 Vol.
3.9%
20
Ecuador
20
Ecuador
$12,057 Vol.
3.3%
21
Canada
21
Canada
$2,603 Vol.
2.8%
22
Sweden
22
Sweden
$1,283 Vol.
2.5%
23
Senegal
23
Senegal
$9,649 Vol.
2.5%
24
New Zealand
24
New Zealand
$514 Vol.
2.3%
25
Scotland
25
Scotland
$2,145 Vol.
2.3%
26
Austria
26
Austria
$2,831 Vol.
2.3%
27
South Africa
27
South Africa
$197 Vol.
2.2%
28
Czechia
28
Czechia
$3,977 Vol.
2.2%
29
Ivory Coast
29
Ivory Coast
$5,225 Vol.
2.2%
30
South Korea
30
South Korea
$3,307 Vol.
2.0%
31
Bosnia & Herzegovina
31
Bosnia & Herzegovina
$597 Vol.
1.8%
32
Ghana
32
Ghana
$161 Vol.
1.7%
33
Algeria
33
Algeria
$198 Vol.
1.7%
34
Paraguay
34
Paraguay
$698 Vol.
1.6%
35
Australia
35
Australia
$93 Vol.
1.2%
36
Tunisia
36
Tunisia
$249 Vol.
1.1%
37
Qatar
37
Qatar
$292 Vol.
1.0%
38
Egypt
38
Egypt
$1,437 Vol.
1.0%
39
IR Iran
39
IR Iran
$1,053 Vol.
0.9%
40
Saudi Arabia
40
Saudi Arabia
$1,715 Vol.
0.9%
41
DR Congo
41
DR Congo
$216 Vol.
0.8%
42
🇮🇶Iraq
42🇮🇶
Iraq
$179 Vol.
0.7%
43
Jordan
43
Jordan
$483 Vol.
0.6%
44
Uzbekistan
44
Uzbekistan
$2,599 Vol.
0.6%
45
Cape Verde
45
Cape Verde
$3,636 Vol.
0.4%
46
Panama
46
Panama
$648 Vol.
0.4%
47
Haiti
47
Haiti
$365 Vol.
0.4%
48
Curaçao
48
Curaçao
$965 Vol.
0.4%

How this settles

Resolution and payout rules

This prediction resolves on the official FIFA World Cup 2026 result for Which teams reach the World Cup final?. YES shares pay $1.00 USDC at resolution; NO shares pay $0.00.

Category: Knockout
Settlement date: Jul 19, 2026
Volume: $5.76M
Liquidity: $1.15M
Source: FIFA official / Polymarket CLOB
Scope: FIFA World Cup 2026 only

Illustrative odds until on-chain CLOB settlement is live on the hub.