KnockoutSettles Jul 19, 2026

Which teams reach the quarter-finals?

Quarter-final berth

Price movement

Implied probability for the top five outcomes across selectable timeframes

$5,760,000 Vol.$1.15M Liq.Jul 19, 2026

Spain62%

France59%

England56%

Brazil53%

Argentina53%

Implied odds

Tap an outcome to load it in the trade panel

NationChanceTrade

1
Spain
01
Spain
Favorite
$74,561 Vol.
62.0%
2
France
02
France
$39,293 Vol.
59.0%
3
England
03
England
$34,158 Vol.
56.0%
4
Brazil
04
Brazil
$15,979 Vol.
52.5%
5
Argentina
05
Argentina
$64,418 Vol.
52.5%
6
Portugal
06
Portugal
$129,466 Vol.
51.0%
7
Germany
07
Germany
$3,042 Vol.
39.5%
8
Netherlands
08
Netherlands
$8,426 Vol.
38.0%
9
Belgium
09
Belgium
$9,337 Vol.
37.5%
10
USA
10
USA
$12,773 Vol.
33.5%
11
Norway
11
Norway
$8,706 Vol.
29.5%
12
Colombia
12
Colombia
$9,147 Vol.
29.5%
13
Mexico
13
Mexico
$35,833 Vol.
29.0%
14
Switzerland
14
Switzerland
$1,652 Vol.
25.0%
15
Morocco
15
Morocco
$6,645 Vol.
25.0%
16
Japan
16
Japan
$21,379 Vol.
23.5%
17
Uruguay
17
Uruguay
$1,800 Vol.
21.5%
18
Türkiye
18
Türkiye
$5,228 Vol.
21.0%
19
Croatia
19
Croatia
$3,971 Vol.
21.0%
20
Ecuador
20
Ecuador
$10,866 Vol.
18.0%
21
South Korea
21
South Korea
$5,094 Vol.
15.0%
22
Senegal
22
Senegal
$3,531 Vol.
15.0%
23
Austria
23
Austria
$1,631 Vol.
13.0%
24
Canada
24
Canada
$557 Vol.
12.0%
25
Ivory Coast
25
Ivory Coast
$4,100 Vol.
12.0%
26
Scotland
26
Scotland
$329 Vol.
11.0%
27
Algeria
27
Algeria
$445 Vol.
9.5%
28
Bosnia & Herzegovina
28
Bosnia & Herzegovina
$835 Vol.
8.5%
29
Ghana
29
Ghana
$4,220 Vol.
7.6%
30
Sweden
30
Sweden
$1,405 Vol.
7.5%
31
Egypt
31
Egypt
$1,210 Vol.
6.5%
32
Czechia
32
Czechia
$184 Vol.
6.0%
33
DR Congo
33
DR Congo
$4,039 Vol.
4.9%
34
Paraguay
34
Paraguay
$1,957 Vol.
4.0%
35
IR Iran
35
IR Iran
$756 Vol.
3.8%
36
Australia
36
Australia
$114 Vol.
3.6%
37
Qatar
37
Qatar
$16 Vol.
3.1%
38
South Africa
38
South Africa
$551 Vol.
2.8%
39
Cape Verde
39
Cape Verde
$803 Vol.
2.6%
40
🇮🇶Iraq
40🇮🇶
Iraq
$176 Vol.
2.5%
41
Saudi Arabia
41
Saudi Arabia
$817 Vol.
2.4%
42
Jordan
42
Jordan
2.4%
43
Panama
43
Panama
$68 Vol.
2.4%
44
New Zealand
44
New Zealand
$281 Vol.
2.3%
45
Uzbekistan
45
Uzbekistan
2.3%
46
Haiti
46
Haiti
$33 Vol.
2.2%
47
Tunisia
47
Tunisia
$537 Vol.
2.2%
48
Curaçao
48
Curaçao
$4,637 Vol.
1.6%

How this settles

Resolution and payout rules

This prediction resolves on the official FIFA World Cup 2026 result for Which teams reach the quarter-finals?. YES shares pay $1.00 USDC at resolution; NO shares pay $0.00.

Category: Knockout
Settlement date: Jul 19, 2026
Volume: $5.76M
Liquidity: $1.15M
Source: FIFA official / Polymarket CLOB
Scope: FIFA World Cup 2026 only

Illustrative odds until on-chain CLOB settlement is live on the hub.

All predictions

KnockoutSettles Jul 19, 2026

Which teams reach the quarter-finals?

Quarter-final berth

Price movement

Implied probability for the top five outcomes across selectable timeframes

$5,760,000 Vol.$1.15M Liq.Jul 19, 2026

Spain62%

France59%

England56%

Brazil53%

Argentina53%

Implied odds

Tap an outcome to load it in the trade panel

NationChanceTrade

1
Spain
01
Spain
Favorite
$74,561 Vol.
62.0%
2
France
02
France
$39,293 Vol.
59.0%
3
England
03
England
$34,158 Vol.
56.0%
4
Brazil
04
Brazil
$15,979 Vol.
52.5%
5
Argentina
05
Argentina
$64,418 Vol.
52.5%
6
Portugal
06
Portugal
$129,466 Vol.
51.0%
7
Germany
07
Germany
$3,042 Vol.
39.5%
8
Netherlands
08
Netherlands
$8,426 Vol.
38.0%
9
Belgium
09
Belgium
$9,337 Vol.
37.5%
10
USA
10
USA
$12,773 Vol.
33.5%
11
Norway
11
Norway
$8,706 Vol.
29.5%
12
Colombia
12
Colombia
$9,147 Vol.
29.5%
13
Mexico
13
Mexico
$35,833 Vol.
29.0%
14
Switzerland
14
Switzerland
$1,652 Vol.
25.0%
15
Morocco
15
Morocco
$6,645 Vol.
25.0%
16
Japan
16
Japan
$21,379 Vol.
23.5%
17
Uruguay
17
Uruguay
$1,800 Vol.
21.5%
18
Türkiye
18
Türkiye
$5,228 Vol.
21.0%
19
Croatia
19
Croatia
$3,971 Vol.
21.0%
20
Ecuador
20
Ecuador
$10,866 Vol.
18.0%
21
South Korea
21
South Korea
$5,094 Vol.
15.0%
22
Senegal
22
Senegal
$3,531 Vol.
15.0%
23
Austria
23
Austria
$1,631 Vol.
13.0%
24
Canada
24
Canada
$557 Vol.
12.0%
25
Ivory Coast
25
Ivory Coast
$4,100 Vol.
12.0%
26
Scotland
26
Scotland
$329 Vol.
11.0%
27
Algeria
27
Algeria
$445 Vol.
9.5%
28
Bosnia & Herzegovina
28
Bosnia & Herzegovina
$835 Vol.
8.5%
29
Ghana
29
Ghana
$4,220 Vol.
7.6%
30
Sweden
30
Sweden
$1,405 Vol.
7.5%
31
Egypt
31
Egypt
$1,210 Vol.
6.5%
32
Czechia
32
Czechia
$184 Vol.
6.0%
33
DR Congo
33
DR Congo
$4,039 Vol.
4.9%
34
Paraguay
34
Paraguay
$1,957 Vol.
4.0%
35
IR Iran
35
IR Iran
$756 Vol.
3.8%
36
Australia
36
Australia
$114 Vol.
3.6%
37
Qatar
37
Qatar
$16 Vol.
3.1%
38
South Africa
38
South Africa
$551 Vol.
2.8%
39
Cape Verde
39
Cape Verde
$803 Vol.
2.6%
40
🇮🇶Iraq
40🇮🇶
Iraq
$176 Vol.
2.5%
41
Saudi Arabia
41
Saudi Arabia
$817 Vol.
2.4%
42
Jordan
42
Jordan
2.4%
43
Panama
43
Panama
$68 Vol.
2.4%
44
New Zealand
44
New Zealand
$281 Vol.
2.3%
45
Uzbekistan
45
Uzbekistan
2.3%
46
Haiti
46
Haiti
$33 Vol.
2.2%
47
Tunisia
47
Tunisia
$537 Vol.
2.2%
48
Curaçao
48
Curaçao
$4,637 Vol.
1.6%

How this settles

Resolution and payout rules

This prediction resolves on the official FIFA World Cup 2026 result for Which teams reach the quarter-finals?. YES shares pay $1.00 USDC at resolution; NO shares pay $0.00.

Category: Knockout
Settlement date: Jul 19, 2026
Volume: $5.76M
Liquidity: $1.15M
Source: FIFA official / Polymarket CLOB
Scope: FIFA World Cup 2026 only

Illustrative odds until on-chain CLOB settlement is live on the hub.