KnockoutSettles Jul 19, 2026

Which teams reach the Round of 16?

Round of 32 exit or better

Price movement

Implied probability for the top five outcomes across selectable timeframes

$5,760,000 Vol.$1.15M Liq.Jul 19, 2026

France81%

Spain80%

England77%

Portugal75%

Brazil72%

Implied odds

Tap an outcome to load it in the trade panel

NationChanceTrade

1
France
01
France
Favorite
$87,704 Vol.
80.5%
2
Spain
02
Spain
$47,539 Vol.
80.0%
3
England
03
England
$40,519 Vol.
77.0%
4
Portugal
04
Portugal
$46,881 Vol.
75.0%
5
Brazil
05
Brazil
$23,679 Vol.
71.5%
6
Argentina
06
Argentina
$24,807 Vol.
71.0%
7
Germany
07
Germany
$33,066 Vol.
70.5%
8
USA
08
USA
$11,435 Vol.
62.5%
9
Mexico
09
Mexico
$27,495 Vol.
62.0%
10
Belgium
10
Belgium
$18,766 Vol.
62.0%
11
Switzerland
11
Switzerland
$12,052 Vol.
61.0%
12
Netherlands
12
Netherlands
$13,292 Vol.
56.5%
13
Colombia
13
Colombia
$11,650 Vol.
56.5%
14
Norway
14
Norway
$10,770 Vol.
53.0%
15
Türkiye
15
Türkiye
$17,934 Vol.
49.0%
16
South Korea
16
South Korea
$13,191 Vol.
44.0%
17
Ecuador
17
Ecuador
$6,852 Vol.
42.5%
18
Uruguay
18
Uruguay
$3,117 Vol.
41.0%
19
Japan
19
Japan
$21,934 Vol.
40.5%
20
Morocco
20
Morocco
$21,202 Vol.
40.0%
21
Croatia
21
Croatia
$4,322 Vol.
38.5%
22
Canada
22
Canada
$7,202 Vol.
37.5%
23
Ivory Coast
23
Ivory Coast
$6,734 Vol.
36.5%
24
Egypt
24
Egypt
$6,794 Vol.
31.5%
25
Senegal
25
Senegal
$7,922 Vol.
31.0%
26
Austria
26
Austria
$5,083 Vol.
28.0%
27
Bosnia & Herzegovina
27
Bosnia & Herzegovina
$1,786 Vol.
26.5%
28
Scotland
28
Scotland
$707 Vol.
23.5%
29
IR Iran
29
IR Iran
$6,658 Vol.
21.0%
30
Sweden
30
Sweden
$944 Vol.
20.5%
31
Czechia
31
Czechia
$410 Vol.
20.0%
32
Algeria
32
Algeria
$1,483 Vol.
19.5%
33
Australia
33
Australia
$2,237 Vol.
14.5%
34
Paraguay
34
Paraguay
$2,623 Vol.
14.0%
35
Ghana
35
Ghana
$16,354 Vol.
13.0%
36
DR Congo
36
DR Congo
$1,648 Vol.
11.5%
37
Tunisia
37
Tunisia
$280 Vol.
9.5%
38
Uzbekistan
38
Uzbekistan
$1,272 Vol.
8.0%
39
New Zealand
39
New Zealand
$5,756 Vol.
7.0%
40
Panama
40
Panama
$1,793 Vol.
7.0%
41
Saudi Arabia
41
Saudi Arabia
$6,752 Vol.
6.5%
42
Cape Verde
42
Cape Verde
$914 Vol.
6.3%
43
South Africa
43
South Africa
$15,483 Vol.
6.0%
44
Jordan
44
Jordan
$92 Vol.
6.0%
45
Curaçao
45
Curaçao
$257 Vol.
5.3%
46
Haiti
46
Haiti
$903 Vol.
5.0%
47
🇮🇶Iraq
47🇮🇶
Iraq
$1,100 Vol.
4.0%
48
Qatar
48
Qatar
$11,095 Vol.
3.8%

How this settles

Resolution and payout rules

This prediction resolves on the official FIFA World Cup 2026 result for Which teams reach the Round of 16?. YES shares pay $1.00 USDC at resolution; NO shares pay $0.00.

Category: Knockout
Settlement date: Jul 19, 2026
Volume: $5.76M
Liquidity: $1.15M
Source: FIFA official / Polymarket CLOB
Scope: FIFA World Cup 2026 only

Illustrative odds until on-chain CLOB settlement is live on the hub.

All predictions

KnockoutSettles Jul 19, 2026

Which teams reach the Round of 16?

Round of 32 exit or better

Price movement

Implied probability for the top five outcomes across selectable timeframes

$5,760,000 Vol.$1.15M Liq.Jul 19, 2026

France81%

Spain80%

England77%

Portugal75%

Brazil72%

Implied odds

Tap an outcome to load it in the trade panel

NationChanceTrade

1
France
01
France
Favorite
$87,704 Vol.
80.5%
2
Spain
02
Spain
$47,539 Vol.
80.0%
3
England
03
England
$40,519 Vol.
77.0%
4
Portugal
04
Portugal
$46,881 Vol.
75.0%
5
Brazil
05
Brazil
$23,679 Vol.
71.5%
6
Argentina
06
Argentina
$24,807 Vol.
71.0%
7
Germany
07
Germany
$33,066 Vol.
70.5%
8
USA
08
USA
$11,435 Vol.
62.5%
9
Mexico
09
Mexico
$27,495 Vol.
62.0%
10
Belgium
10
Belgium
$18,766 Vol.
62.0%
11
Switzerland
11
Switzerland
$12,052 Vol.
61.0%
12
Netherlands
12
Netherlands
$13,292 Vol.
56.5%
13
Colombia
13
Colombia
$11,650 Vol.
56.5%
14
Norway
14
Norway
$10,770 Vol.
53.0%
15
Türkiye
15
Türkiye
$17,934 Vol.
49.0%
16
South Korea
16
South Korea
$13,191 Vol.
44.0%
17
Ecuador
17
Ecuador
$6,852 Vol.
42.5%
18
Uruguay
18
Uruguay
$3,117 Vol.
41.0%
19
Japan
19
Japan
$21,934 Vol.
40.5%
20
Morocco
20
Morocco
$21,202 Vol.
40.0%
21
Croatia
21
Croatia
$4,322 Vol.
38.5%
22
Canada
22
Canada
$7,202 Vol.
37.5%
23
Ivory Coast
23
Ivory Coast
$6,734 Vol.
36.5%
24
Egypt
24
Egypt
$6,794 Vol.
31.5%
25
Senegal
25
Senegal
$7,922 Vol.
31.0%
26
Austria
26
Austria
$5,083 Vol.
28.0%
27
Bosnia & Herzegovina
27
Bosnia & Herzegovina
$1,786 Vol.
26.5%
28
Scotland
28
Scotland
$707 Vol.
23.5%
29
IR Iran
29
IR Iran
$6,658 Vol.
21.0%
30
Sweden
30
Sweden
$944 Vol.
20.5%
31
Czechia
31
Czechia
$410 Vol.
20.0%
32
Algeria
32
Algeria
$1,483 Vol.
19.5%
33
Australia
33
Australia
$2,237 Vol.
14.5%
34
Paraguay
34
Paraguay
$2,623 Vol.
14.0%
35
Ghana
35
Ghana
$16,354 Vol.
13.0%
36
DR Congo
36
DR Congo
$1,648 Vol.
11.5%
37
Tunisia
37
Tunisia
$280 Vol.
9.5%
38
Uzbekistan
38
Uzbekistan
$1,272 Vol.
8.0%
39
New Zealand
39
New Zealand
$5,756 Vol.
7.0%
40
Panama
40
Panama
$1,793 Vol.
7.0%
41
Saudi Arabia
41
Saudi Arabia
$6,752 Vol.
6.5%
42
Cape Verde
42
Cape Verde
$914 Vol.
6.3%
43
South Africa
43
South Africa
$15,483 Vol.
6.0%
44
Jordan
44
Jordan
$92 Vol.
6.0%
45
Curaçao
45
Curaçao
$257 Vol.
5.3%
46
Haiti
46
Haiti
$903 Vol.
5.0%
47
🇮🇶Iraq
47🇮🇶
Iraq
$1,100 Vol.
4.0%
48
Qatar
48
Qatar
$11,095 Vol.
3.8%

How this settles

Resolution and payout rules

This prediction resolves on the official FIFA World Cup 2026 result for Which teams reach the Round of 16?. YES shares pay $1.00 USDC at resolution; NO shares pay $0.00.

Category: Knockout
Settlement date: Jul 19, 2026
Volume: $5.76M
Liquidity: $1.15M
Source: FIFA official / Polymarket CLOB
Scope: FIFA World Cup 2026 only

Illustrative odds until on-chain CLOB settlement is live on the hub.