KnockoutSettles Jul 19, 2026

Which teams reach the semi-finals?

Semi-final berth

Price movement

Implied probability for the top five outcomes across selectable timeframes

$5,760,000 Vol.$1.15M Liq.Jul 19, 2026

Spain45%

France38%

England36%

Argentina32%

Portugal32%

Implied odds

Tap an outcome to load it in the trade panel

NationChanceTrade

1
Spain
01
Spain
Favorite
$23,685 Vol.
45.0%
2
France
02
France
$13,016 Vol.
37.5%
3
England
03
England
$23,794 Vol.
36.0%
4
Argentina
04
Argentina
$40,628 Vol.
32.0%
5
Portugal
05
Portugal
$11,494 Vol.
31.5%
6
Brazil
06
Brazil
$4,965 Vol.
29.5%
7
Netherlands
07
Netherlands
$4,282 Vol.
21.5%
8
Germany
08
Germany
$3,624 Vol.
20.5%
9
Norway
09
Norway
$17,561 Vol.
15.0%
10
Belgium
10
Belgium
$673 Vol.
14.5%
11
Colombia
11
Colombia
$3,738 Vol.
14.5%
12
USA
12
USA
$14,049 Vol.
13.5%
13
Mexico
13
Mexico
$12,750 Vol.
12.0%
14
Morocco
14
Morocco
$7,537 Vol.
11.5%
15
Türkiye
15
Türkiye
$9,375 Vol.
9.5%
16
Japan
16
Japan
$15,054 Vol.
9.5%
17
Switzerland
17
Switzerland
$4,868 Vol.
8.5%
18
Croatia
18
Croatia
$10,732 Vol.
8.3%
19
Uruguay
19
Uruguay
$7,028 Vol.
6.5%
20
Ecuador
20
Ecuador
$5,930 Vol.
6.1%
21
South Korea
21
South Korea
$7,249 Vol.
5.8%
22
Ivory Coast
22
Ivory Coast
$8,740 Vol.
5.7%
23
Senegal
23
Senegal
$4,646 Vol.
5.1%
24
Sweden
24
Sweden
$6,318 Vol.
4.9%
25
Algeria
25
Algeria
$192 Vol.
4.4%
26
Czechia
26
Czechia
$10,748 Vol.
4.2%
27
Austria
27
Austria
$5,993 Vol.
3.6%
28
Australia
28
Australia
$6,399 Vol.
3.3%
29
Ghana
29
Ghana
$464 Vol.
2.5%
30
Saudi Arabia
30
Saudi Arabia
$659 Vol.
2.4%
31
Paraguay
31
Paraguay
$5,999 Vol.
2.4%
32
Egypt
32
Egypt
$116 Vol.
2.3%
33
Bosnia & Herzegovina
33
Bosnia & Herzegovina
$13,822 Vol.
2.2%
34
Canada
34
Canada
$5,746 Vol.
2.0%
35
Scotland
35
Scotland
$1,124 Vol.
1.8%
36
Tunisia
36
Tunisia
$6,472 Vol.
1.7%
37
IR Iran
37
IR Iran
$537 Vol.
1.4%
38
Curaçao
38
Curaçao
$1,478 Vol.
1.3%
39
🇮🇶Iraq
39🇮🇶
Iraq
$283 Vol.
1.3%
40
New Zealand
40
New Zealand
$3 Vol.
1.1%
41
Jordan
41
Jordan
$6 Vol.
1.1%
42
DR Congo
42
DR Congo
$1,687 Vol.
1.0%
43
South Africa
43
South Africa
$591 Vol.
0.9%
44
Uzbekistan
44
Uzbekistan
$2,351 Vol.
0.9%
45
Panama
45
Panama
$280 Vol.
0.9%
46
Cape Verde
46
Cape Verde
$214 Vol.
0.6%
47
Haiti
47
Haiti
$1,101 Vol.
0.4%
48
Qatar
48
Qatar
$167 Vol.
0.2%

How this settles

Resolution and payout rules

This prediction resolves on the official FIFA World Cup 2026 result for Which teams reach the semi-finals?. YES shares pay $1.00 USDC at resolution; NO shares pay $0.00.

Category: Knockout
Settlement date: Jul 19, 2026
Volume: $5.76M
Liquidity: $1.15M
Source: FIFA official / Polymarket CLOB
Scope: FIFA World Cup 2026 only

Illustrative odds until on-chain CLOB settlement is live on the hub.

All predictions

KnockoutSettles Jul 19, 2026

Which teams reach the semi-finals?

Semi-final berth

Price movement

Implied probability for the top five outcomes across selectable timeframes

$5,760,000 Vol.$1.15M Liq.Jul 19, 2026

Spain45%

France38%

England36%

Argentina32%

Portugal32%

Implied odds

Tap an outcome to load it in the trade panel

NationChanceTrade

1
Spain
01
Spain
Favorite
$23,685 Vol.
45.0%
2
France
02
France
$13,016 Vol.
37.5%
3
England
03
England
$23,794 Vol.
36.0%
4
Argentina
04
Argentina
$40,628 Vol.
32.0%
5
Portugal
05
Portugal
$11,494 Vol.
31.5%
6
Brazil
06
Brazil
$4,965 Vol.
29.5%
7
Netherlands
07
Netherlands
$4,282 Vol.
21.5%
8
Germany
08
Germany
$3,624 Vol.
20.5%
9
Norway
09
Norway
$17,561 Vol.
15.0%
10
Belgium
10
Belgium
$673 Vol.
14.5%
11
Colombia
11
Colombia
$3,738 Vol.
14.5%
12
USA
12
USA
$14,049 Vol.
13.5%
13
Mexico
13
Mexico
$12,750 Vol.
12.0%
14
Morocco
14
Morocco
$7,537 Vol.
11.5%
15
Türkiye
15
Türkiye
$9,375 Vol.
9.5%
16
Japan
16
Japan
$15,054 Vol.
9.5%
17
Switzerland
17
Switzerland
$4,868 Vol.
8.5%
18
Croatia
18
Croatia
$10,732 Vol.
8.3%
19
Uruguay
19
Uruguay
$7,028 Vol.
6.5%
20
Ecuador
20
Ecuador
$5,930 Vol.
6.1%
21
South Korea
21
South Korea
$7,249 Vol.
5.8%
22
Ivory Coast
22
Ivory Coast
$8,740 Vol.
5.7%
23
Senegal
23
Senegal
$4,646 Vol.
5.1%
24
Sweden
24
Sweden
$6,318 Vol.
4.9%
25
Algeria
25
Algeria
$192 Vol.
4.4%
26
Czechia
26
Czechia
$10,748 Vol.
4.2%
27
Austria
27
Austria
$5,993 Vol.
3.6%
28
Australia
28
Australia
$6,399 Vol.
3.3%
29
Ghana
29
Ghana
$464 Vol.
2.5%
30
Saudi Arabia
30
Saudi Arabia
$659 Vol.
2.4%
31
Paraguay
31
Paraguay
$5,999 Vol.
2.4%
32
Egypt
32
Egypt
$116 Vol.
2.3%
33
Bosnia & Herzegovina
33
Bosnia & Herzegovina
$13,822 Vol.
2.2%
34
Canada
34
Canada
$5,746 Vol.
2.0%
35
Scotland
35
Scotland
$1,124 Vol.
1.8%
36
Tunisia
36
Tunisia
$6,472 Vol.
1.7%
37
IR Iran
37
IR Iran
$537 Vol.
1.4%
38
Curaçao
38
Curaçao
$1,478 Vol.
1.3%
39
🇮🇶Iraq
39🇮🇶
Iraq
$283 Vol.
1.3%
40
New Zealand
40
New Zealand
$3 Vol.
1.1%
41
Jordan
41
Jordan
$6 Vol.
1.1%
42
DR Congo
42
DR Congo
$1,687 Vol.
1.0%
43
South Africa
43
South Africa
$591 Vol.
0.9%
44
Uzbekistan
44
Uzbekistan
$2,351 Vol.
0.9%
45
Panama
45
Panama
$280 Vol.
0.9%
46
Cape Verde
46
Cape Verde
$214 Vol.
0.6%
47
Haiti
47
Haiti
$1,101 Vol.
0.4%
48
Qatar
48
Qatar
$167 Vol.
0.2%

How this settles

Resolution and payout rules

This prediction resolves on the official FIFA World Cup 2026 result for Which teams reach the semi-finals?. YES shares pay $1.00 USDC at resolution; NO shares pay $0.00.

Category: Knockout
Settlement date: Jul 19, 2026
Volume: $5.76M
Liquidity: $1.15M
Source: FIFA official / Polymarket CLOB
Scope: FIFA World Cup 2026 only

Illustrative odds until on-chain CLOB settlement is live on the hub.